Posttreatment prostate-specific antigen nadir highly predictive of distant failure and death from prostate cancer

To link posttreatment biochemical profiles to distant failure and cause-specific survival by assessing the relationship between posttreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) nadir and PSA doubling time (PSADT) with these outcome measures. A total of 615 men were treated at the Fox Chase Cancer Center between April 1989 and December 1995 with three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy alone (median dose 73 Gy). The median follow-up was 64 months (range 2-135). Kaplan-Meier methods were used to estimate the rates of biochemical control, freedom from distant metastasis (FDM), and cause-specific survival. Multivariate predictors of outcome were assessed using stepwise Cox regression analysis. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that the predictors of improved biochemical control were a lower PSA nadir (p