Risk of Malignancy in Resected Cystic Tumors of the Pancreas ≤3 cm in Size: Is it Safe to Observe Asymptomatic Patients? A Multi-institutional Report

Recent international consensus guidelines propose that cystic pancreatic tumors less than 3 cm in size in asymptomatic patients with no radiographic features concerning for malignancy are safe to observe; however, there is little published data to support this recommendation. The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of malignancy in this group of patients using pancreatic resection databases from five high-volume pancreatic centers to assess the appropriateness of these guidelines. All pancreatic resections performed for cystic neoplasms ≤3 cm in size were evaluated over the time period of 1998–2006. One hundred sixty-six cases were identified, and the clinical, radiographic, and pathological data were reviewed. The correlation with age, gender, and symptoms (abdominal pain, nausea and vomiting, jaundice, presence of pancreatitis, unexplained weight loss, and anorexia), radiographic features suggestive of malignancy by either computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, or endoscopic ultrasound (presence of solid component, lymphadenopathy, or dilated main pancreatic duct or common bile duct), and the presence of malignancy was assessed using univariate and multivariate analysis. Among the 166 pancreatic resections for cystic pancreatic tumors ≤3 cm, 135 cases were benign [38 serous cystadenomas, 35 mucinous cystic neoplasms, 60 intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN), 1 cystic papillary tumor, and 1 cystic islet cell tumor], whereas 31 cases were malignant (14 mucinous cystic adenocarcinomas and 13 invasive carcinomas and 4 in situ carcinomas arising in the setting of IPMN). A greater incidence of cystic neoplasms was seen in female patients (99/166, 60%). Gender was a predictor of malignant pathology, with male patients having a higher incidence of malignancy (19/67, 28%) compared to female patients (12/99, 12%; p