Clinical factors and ABCB1 polymorphisms in prediction of antiepileptic drug response: a prospective cohort study

The ABCB1 3435C→T single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) or a three-SNP haplotype containing 3435C→T has been implicated in multidrug resistance in epilepsy in three retrospective case-control studies, but a further three have failed to replicate the association. We aimed to determine the effect of the ABCB1 gene on epilepsy drug response, using a unique large cohort of epilepsy patients with prospectively measured seizure and drug response outcomes. The ABCB1 3435C→T polymorphism and three-SNP haplotype, plus a comprehensive set of tag SNPs across ABCB1 and adjacent ABCB4, were genotyped in a cohort of 503 epilepsy patients with prospectively measured seizure and drug response outcomes. Clinical, demographic, and genetic data were analysed. Treatment outcome was measured in terms of time to 12-month remission, time to first seizure, and time to drug withdrawal due to inadequate seizure control or side-effects. Randomly selected genome-wide HapMap SNPs (n=129) were genotyped in all patients for genomic control. Number of seizures before treatment was the dominant feature predicting seizure outcome after starting antiepileptic drug therapy, measured by both time to first seizure (hazard ratio 1·34, 95% CI 1·21–1·49, p