The Healing Forearm Fracture: A Matched Comparison of Forearm Refractures

BACKGROUND:Forearm fractures in children usually heal rapidly after closed treatment. Recent studies report forearm refracture rates of 5%. The purpose of this study was to identify risk factors for refracture based on radiographic variables. METHODS:We performed a retrospective review of patients that sustained a second forearm fracture (refracture) between 1998 and 2005. Refractures were defined as having a second fracture of the same forearm within 18 months of the original fracture. A comparison group of single-fracture patients followed in a capitated insurance plan were included and matched based on age and sex. Radiographic assessment included initial/final angulation, displacement, and fracture-line visibility at latest follow-up. RESULTS:Sixty-three refractures were compared with 132 age- and sex-matched single-fracture patients. Time to refracture averaged 10 months. Thirty-eight percent of the initial fractures in the refracture group occurred in the proximal or middle third of the forearm compared with 15% for the single-fracture patients (P < 0.001). Because location of the fracture was found to be a risk factor for refracture, a secondary analysis was performed with refracture patients matched to single-fracture patients based on age, sex, bone fractured, fracture location, and treatment method. Fracture-line visibility of the radius at latest follow-up was clearly visible in 48% of refractures compared with 21% of controls (P = 0.05). Initial fracture severity and residual deformity were not significantly different. CONCLUSIONS:Proximal and middle one third forearm fractures are at greater risk of refracture compared with distal one third forearm fractures. There was a trend toward incomplete healing seen more commonly in those that refractured, emphasizing the importance of longer immobilization in these fractures. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE:Prognostic study, level III, case-control study.