Resultant forecasts
This article presents 1) the definition of a resultant forecasting function for a stochastic case, 2) construction of a function forecasting a stochastic process, and 3) construction, therefore, of a resultant forecasting function for two criteria and associated operations: minimum of the total prob...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Technological forecasting & social change 1980-02, Vol.16 (2), p.147-154 |
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Hauptverfasser: | , |
Format: | Artikel |
Sprache: | eng |
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Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
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Zusammenfassung: | This article presents 1) the definition of a resultant forecasting function for a stochastic case, 2) construction of a function forecasting a stochastic process, and 3) construction, therefore, of a resultant forecasting function for two criteria and associated operations: minimum of the total probability of error and minimum risk function. The applicational significance of a resultant forecast is discussed in view of hierarchical systems design. |
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ISSN: | 0040-1625 1873-5509 |
DOI: | 10.1016/0040-1625(80)90005-0 |