A Note on Portraying the Accuracy of Violence Predictions
We discuss two major reviews of the accuracy of dichotomous (yes/no) violence predictions (Monahan, 1981; Otto, 1992), which reported rates of false positive errors that were calculated using conceptually and mathematically dissimilar methods. We outline potential problems that result from analyzing...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Law and human behavior 1993-12, Vol.17 (6), p.695-700 |
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creator | Hart, Stephen D Webster, Christopher D Menzies, Robert J |
description | We discuss two major reviews of the accuracy of dichotomous (yes/no) violence predictions (Monahan, 1981; Otto, 1992), which reported rates of false positive errors that were calculated using conceptually and mathematically dissimilar methods. We outline potential problems that result from analyzing data in the form of 2 × 2 contingency tables and offer some recommendations for future research on the prediction of violence. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1007/BF01044690 |
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We outline potential problems that result from analyzing data in the form of 2 × 2 contingency tables and offer some recommendations for future research on the prediction of violence.</description><subject>Accuracy</subject><subject>Base interest rates</subject><subject>Clinical Judgment (Not Diagnosis)</subject><subject>Dangerousness</subject><subject>False negative errors</subject><subject>False positive errors</subject><subject>Forensic psychiatry</subject><subject>Forensic Psychology</subject><subject>Human</subject><subject>Human behavior</subject><subject>Mental Health Personnel</subject><subject>Mental illness</subject><subject>Methodology (Data Analysis)</subject><subject>Outcome variables</subject><subject>Prediction</subject><subject>Recommendations</subject><subject>Research Note</subject><subject>Statistics</subject><subject>Violence</subject><subject>Violent crimes</subject><issn>0147-7307</issn><issn>1573-661X</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>1993</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>K30</sourceid><sourceid>BHHNA</sourceid><recordid>eNp10M1LAzEQBfAgCtbqxbOHRcWDspppssnmWItfULQHFW8hSWd1y7qpSXrof--WCqLoaQ7z4_F4hOwDPQdK5cXlNQXKuVB0g_SgkCwXAl42SY8Cl7lkVG6TnRhnlFJV0qJH1DC79wkz32YTH1Iwy7p9zdIbZkPnFsG4Zear7Ln2DbYOs0nAae1S7du4S7Yq00Tc-7p98nR99Ti6zccPN3ej4Tg3nELKLa9YMUBrHTq0zFErmVAVYqVAMsCuq5JqOqikNawopoJZXlIA56QwtrSsT07WufPgPxYYk36vo8OmMS36RdQCmCiB8Q4e_oIzvwht100r4KKUAooOHf2HYKCkKEveBfbJ6Vq54GMMWOl5qN9NWGqgejW0_h66wwdrPIvJh2_JFFNy9T5bv83c6HlcOhNS7RqM3bwB26SbN6tBaqGFWvU7_lv_ZJ9IiJMq</recordid><startdate>19931201</startdate><enddate>19931201</enddate><creator>Hart, Stephen D</creator><creator>Webster, Christopher D</creator><creator>Menzies, Robert J</creator><general>Plenum Publishing Corp</general><general>Plenum Publishing Corporation</general><general>Plenum Pub. 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We outline potential problems that result from analyzing data in the form of 2 × 2 contingency tables and offer some recommendations for future research on the prediction of violence.</abstract><cop>New York, N.Y</cop><pub>Plenum Publishing Corp</pub><doi>10.1007/BF01044690</doi><tpages>6</tpages></addata></record> |
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subjects | Accuracy Base interest rates Clinical Judgment (Not Diagnosis) Dangerousness False negative errors False positive errors Forensic psychiatry Forensic Psychology Human Human behavior Mental Health Personnel Mental illness Methodology (Data Analysis) Outcome variables Prediction Recommendations Research Note Statistics Violence Violent crimes |
title | A Note on Portraying the Accuracy of Violence Predictions |
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