Probability of idea acceptance in a technologically oriented social structure

An investigation is made of the probability of acceptance of unusually good research ideas communicated upward in a four-tier research hierarchy on the assumption that these ideas follow a Poisson distribution and a Markov random walk. Methods of improving the probability of acceptance of unusually...

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Veröffentlicht in:Technological forecasting & social change 1980-01, Vol.18 (2), p.113-128
Hauptverfasser: Scott Dunning, Robert, Sincoff, Michael Z.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:An investigation is made of the probability of acceptance of unusually good research ideas communicated upward in a four-tier research hierarchy on the assumption that these ideas follow a Poisson distribution and a Markov random walk. Methods of improving the probability of acceptance of unusually good ideas are discussed.
ISSN:0040-1625
1873-5509
DOI:10.1016/0040-1625(80)90012-8