According to the Polls: The Influence of Opinion Polls on Expectations

Voter expectations concerning the electoral prospects of parties & candidates (viability & electability) play an important role in modern theories of voting behavior, especially if more than two choices are involved. Research on public opinion polls as source of these expectations has been h...

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Veröffentlicht in:Public opinion quarterly 2002-04, Vol.66 (1), p.92-104
Hauptverfasser: IRWIN, GALEN A., HOLSTEYN, JOOP J. M. VAN
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description Voter expectations concerning the electoral prospects of parties & candidates (viability & electability) play an important role in modern theories of voting behavior, especially if more than two choices are involved. Research on public opinion polls as source of these expectations has been hampered by circumstantial & methodological difficulties. The research reported here satisfied the necessary condition & presents (on the basis of a survey among 1,393 respondents & with the use of multiple logistic regression analysis) strong evidence that the polls were the dominant source of expectations for voters in the 1994 Dutch parliamentary election. 4 Tables, 1 Appendix, 29 References. Adapted from the source document.
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source Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Sociological Abstracts; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing; EBSCOhost Political Science Complete; Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current)
subjects Candidates
Election results
Elections
Expectations
Legislative Bodies
Methodological Problems
Netherlands
Opinion Polls
Parliamentary elections
Political attitudes
Political campaigns
Political candidates
Political participation
Political parties
Polls
Polls & surveys
Presidential elections
Primary elections
Public Opinion
Questionnaires
Research Notes
Voter behavior
Voter expectations
Voters
Voting
Voting Behavior
title According to the Polls: The Influence of Opinion Polls on Expectations
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