According to the Polls: The Influence of Opinion Polls on Expectations

Voter expectations concerning the electoral prospects of parties & candidates (viability & electability) play an important role in modern theories of voting behavior, especially if more than two choices are involved. Research on public opinion polls as source of these expectations has been hampered by circumstantial & methodological difficulties. The research reported here satisfied the necessary condition & presents (on the basis of a survey among 1,393 respondents & with the use of multiple logistic regression analysis) strong evidence that the polls were the dominant source of expectations for voters in the 1994 Dutch parliamentary election. 4 Tables, 1 Appendix, 29 References. Adapted from the source document.