(Change in) turnout and (change in) the left share of the vote
This paper assesses the relationships between turnout and the left share of the vote, and between change in turnout and change in the left share for three data sets: national elections in 23 OECD countries 1960–2002; European Parliament elections; and British constituencies 1955–2001. The idea that...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Electoral studies 2007-09, Vol.26 (3), p.598-611 |
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description | This paper assesses the relationships between turnout and the left share of the vote, and between change in turnout and change in the left share for three data sets: national elections in 23 OECD countries 1960–2002; European Parliament elections; and British constituencies 1955–2001. The idea that higher turnout benefits the left seems to be largely mythical. There is a positive correlation between turnout and the left share in national elections across countries, but it is likely to be the result of both variables declining independently rather than a causal connection. There has also been a positive correlation between change in turnout and change in the left share of the vote in British constituencies since 1983, but only where Labour started first or second and so partly for strategic reasons. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.electstud.2006.10.006 |
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The idea that higher turnout benefits the left seems to be largely mythical. There is a positive correlation between turnout and the left share in national elections across countries, but it is likely to be the result of both variables declining independently rather than a causal connection. There has also been a positive correlation between change in turnout and change in the left share of the vote in British constituencies since 1983, but only where Labour started first or second and so partly for strategic reasons.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0261-3794</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1873-6890</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2006.10.006</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Elsevier Ltd</publisher><subject>Britain ; Constituency ; Elections ; Electoral behaviour ; Europe ; European Parliament ; European Union ; Great Britain ; Labour parties ; Left ; Left parties ; Left-wing parties ; Legislative Bodies ; Long-term analysis ; OECD ; Turnout ; United Kingdom ; Voting Behavior ; Voting behaviour ; Voting turnout</subject><ispartof>Electoral studies, 2007-09, Vol.26 (3), p.598-611</ispartof><rights>2006 Elsevier Ltd</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c478t-de2790c3044f50fc05ccb8c5c96f37a630474f3d390bf9e52d1cb8d47d6594cd3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c478t-de2790c3044f50fc05ccb8c5c96f37a630474f3d390bf9e52d1cb8d47d6594cd3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379406001041$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,3537,27903,27904,65308</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Fisher, Stephen D.</creatorcontrib><title>(Change in) turnout and (change in) the left share of the vote</title><title>Electoral studies</title><description>This paper assesses the relationships between turnout and the left share of the vote, and between change in turnout and change in the left share for three data sets: national elections in 23 OECD countries 1960–2002; European Parliament elections; and British constituencies 1955–2001. The idea that higher turnout benefits the left seems to be largely mythical. There is a positive correlation between turnout and the left share in national elections across countries, but it is likely to be the result of both variables declining independently rather than a causal connection. There has also been a positive correlation between change in turnout and change in the left share of the vote in British constituencies since 1983, but only where Labour started first or second and so partly for strategic reasons.</description><subject>Britain</subject><subject>Constituency</subject><subject>Elections</subject><subject>Electoral behaviour</subject><subject>Europe</subject><subject>European Parliament</subject><subject>European Union</subject><subject>Great Britain</subject><subject>Labour parties</subject><subject>Left</subject><subject>Left parties</subject><subject>Left-wing parties</subject><subject>Legislative Bodies</subject><subject>Long-term analysis</subject><subject>OECD</subject><subject>Turnout</subject><subject>United Kingdom</subject><subject>Voting Behavior</subject><subject>Voting behaviour</subject><subject>Voting turnout</subject><issn>0261-3794</issn><issn>1873-6890</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2007</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>7UB</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkUtLAzEUhYMoWKu_wVlJXcyY1ySTjVBKfUDBja7DNLmxU6YzNckU_PemVsRdXR045zt3cQ9C1wQXBBNxty6gBRNDHGxBMRbJLZKcoBGpJMtFpfApGmEqSM6k4ufoIoQ1xoQqRUbofjJb1d07ZE13m8XBd_0Qs7qz2cT88VeQteBiFla1h6x3386uj3CJzlzdBrj60TF6e5i_zp7yxcvj82y6yA2XVcwtUKmwYZhzV2JncGnMsjKlUcIxWYsUSO6YZQovnYKSWpJyy6UVpeLGsjG6Odzd-v5jgBD1pgkG2rbuoB-CLlVFiRL0KMiEUJiW_wIJ4UImUB5A4_sQPDi99c2m9p-aYL1fQK_17wJ6v8A-SJKa00MT0md2DXgdTAOdAdv4xGvbN0dvfAF4fJGa</recordid><startdate>20070901</startdate><enddate>20070901</enddate><creator>Fisher, Stephen D.</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>7UB</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20070901</creationdate><title>(Change in) turnout and (change in) the left share of the vote</title><author>Fisher, Stephen D.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c478t-de2790c3044f50fc05ccb8c5c96f37a630474f3d390bf9e52d1cb8d47d6594cd3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2007</creationdate><topic>Britain</topic><topic>Constituency</topic><topic>Elections</topic><topic>Electoral behaviour</topic><topic>Europe</topic><topic>European Parliament</topic><topic>European Union</topic><topic>Great Britain</topic><topic>Labour parties</topic><topic>Left</topic><topic>Left parties</topic><topic>Left-wing parties</topic><topic>Legislative Bodies</topic><topic>Long-term analysis</topic><topic>OECD</topic><topic>Turnout</topic><topic>United Kingdom</topic><topic>Voting Behavior</topic><topic>Voting behaviour</topic><topic>Voting turnout</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Fisher, Stephen D.</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>Worldwide Political Science Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Electoral studies</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Fisher, Stephen D.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>(Change in) turnout and (change in) the left share of the vote</atitle><jtitle>Electoral studies</jtitle><date>2007-09-01</date><risdate>2007</risdate><volume>26</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>598</spage><epage>611</epage><pages>598-611</pages><issn>0261-3794</issn><eissn>1873-6890</eissn><abstract>This paper assesses the relationships between turnout and the left share of the vote, and between change in turnout and change in the left share for three data sets: national elections in 23 OECD countries 1960–2002; European Parliament elections; and British constituencies 1955–2001. The idea that higher turnout benefits the left seems to be largely mythical. There is a positive correlation between turnout and the left share in national elections across countries, but it is likely to be the result of both variables declining independently rather than a causal connection. There has also been a positive correlation between change in turnout and change in the left share of the vote in British constituencies since 1983, but only where Labour started first or second and so partly for strategic reasons.</abstract><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><doi>10.1016/j.electstud.2006.10.006</doi><tpages>14</tpages></addata></record> |
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subjects | Britain Constituency Elections Electoral behaviour Europe European Parliament European Union Great Britain Labour parties Left Left parties Left-wing parties Legislative Bodies Long-term analysis OECD Turnout United Kingdom Voting Behavior Voting behaviour Voting turnout |
title | (Change in) turnout and (change in) the left share of the vote |
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