Markov chain analysis and specialization in criminal careers

Markov chain analysis and specialization in criminal careers

The sample consisted of 698 male prisoners who had each been convicted of at least 2 standard list offences. In agreement with the Markov chain hypothesis, the probability of switching from one offence to another remained constant over successive convictions. But the past history of types of offence...

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Veröffentlicht in:British journal of criminology 1989-10, Vol.29 (Autumn 89), p.317-335
Hauptverfasser: Stander, J, Hill, G, Farrington, D P, Altham, P M E
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Criminal careers
Markov analysis
Prisoners
Specialization
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Zusammenfassung:The sample consisted of 698 male prisoners who had each been convicted of at least 2 standard list offences. In agreement with the Markov chain hypothesis, the probability of switching from one offence to another remained constant over successive convictions. But the past history of types of offences helped in predicting future types of offences, suggesting that there was some specialization in offending. (Abstract amended)
ISSN:0007-0955