Is there a tragedy of a common central bank? A dynamic analysis

A great deal of uncertainty exists about the degree to which a European Central Bank (ECB) can be exploited as common property by undisciplined governments. In a dynamic game between symmetric national governments and a single monetary authority, open-loop strategies in the national setting coincide...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of economic dynamics & control 1997-02, Vol.21 (2), p.417-447
Hauptverfasser: van Aarle, Bas, Lans Bovenberg, A., Raith, Matthias G.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:A great deal of uncertainty exists about the degree to which a European Central Bank (ECB) can be exploited as common property by undisciplined governments. In a dynamic game between symmetric national governments and a single monetary authority, open-loop strategies in the national setting coincide with strategies in the international setting. Compared to the open-loop outcome, feed-back strategies slow down debt stabilization. Moreover, debt adjustment is quicker with a common ECB than with individual central banks, while inflation as well as fiscal deficits are lower. These results conflict sharply with the notion of the ECB as common property.
ISSN:0165-1889
1879-1743
DOI:10.1016/S0165-1889(96)00939-6