Note on optimal predictors of binary response

In a recent Economics Letters article, Terza [Terza, J.V., 2006. Optimal Discrete Prediction in Parametric Binary Response Models. Economics Letters 91, 72–75] shows that the optimal threshold is 1/2 for binary-response prediction under symmetric loss. We show that Terza's result is in fact a s...

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Veröffentlicht in:Economics letters 2007-09, Vol.96 (3), p.307-308
Hauptverfasser: Mayer, Walter J., Wu, Chen
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:In a recent Economics Letters article, Terza [Terza, J.V., 2006. Optimal Discrete Prediction in Parametric Binary Response Models. Economics Letters 91, 72–75] shows that the optimal threshold is 1/2 for binary-response prediction under symmetric loss. We show that Terza's result is in fact a special case of a more general and simpler result by Manski and Thompson [Manski, C.F., Thompson, T.S., 1989. Estimation of Best Predictors of Binary Response. Journal of Econometrics 40, 97–123].
ISSN:0165-1765
1873-7374
DOI:10.1016/j.econlet.2007.01.019