Retail Investor Sentiment and Return Comovements

Using a database of more than 1.85 million retail investor transactions over 1991-1996, we show that these trades are systematically correlated-that is, individuals buy (or sell) stocks in concert. Moreover, consistent with noise trader models, we find that systematic retail trading explains return...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Journal of finance (New York) 2006-10, Vol.61 (5), p.2451-2486
Hauptverfasser: KUMAR, ALOK, LEE, CHARLES M.C.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Using a database of more than 1.85 million retail investor transactions over 1991-1996, we show that these trades are systematically correlated-that is, individuals buy (or sell) stocks in concert. Moreover, consistent with noise trader models, we find that systematic retail trading explains return comovements for stocks with high retail concentration (i.e., small-cap, value, lower institutional ownership, and lower-priced stocks), especially if these stocks are also costly to arbitrage. Macroeconomic news and analyst earnings forecast revisions do not explain these results. Collectively, our findings support a role for investor sentiment in the formation of returns.
ISSN:0022-1082
1540-6261
DOI:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.01063.x