Cross-section without factors: a string model for expected returns

Many asset pricing models assume that expected returns are driven by common factors. We formulate a model where returns are driven by a string, and no-arbitrage restricts each expected return to capture the asset's granular exposure to all other asset returns: a correlation premium. The model p...

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Veröffentlicht in:Quantitative finance 2024, Vol.24 (6), p.693-718
Hauptverfasser: Distaso, Walter, Mele, Antonio, Vilkov, Grigory
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Many asset pricing models assume that expected returns are driven by common factors. We formulate a model where returns are driven by a string, and no-arbitrage restricts each expected return to capture the asset's granular exposure to all other asset returns: a correlation premium. The model predicts fresh properties for big stocks, which display higher connectivity in bad times, but also work as correlation hedges: they contribute to a negative fraction of the correlation premium, and portfolios that are more exposed to them command a lower premium. The string model performs at least as well as many existing linear factor models.
ISSN:1469-7688
1469-7696
DOI:10.1080/14697688.2024.2357189