Climatic suitability and development potential of facility agriculture at county-level in China

Facility agriculture is a modern cultivation system that utilizes certain facilities and engineering techniques to create a suitable environment for crops growth, which can ensure China's national food security and human nutrition. Both beneficial and limited climatic conditions have influenced the development for facility agriculture. In this study, 12 dominant factors were distilled by using Maximum Entropy model (MaxEnt) to quantify climatic suitability of facility agriculture and its variation in counties across China in 1991–2020. The climatic suitable areas for facility agriculture were mainly distributed in the southern part of Northeast China, North China, central China, southern part of Southwest China, and northern part of East China, especially during 2000–2020. There was a general fluctuating upward trend in the climatic suitability of facility agriculture in traditional advantageous production areas such as Jiangsu, Shandong, Hebei, and Liaoning. Positive trends in the changes of climatic suitability were detected in central and eastern China where rapid development of facility agriculture could be realized through scientific planning and layout. Western provinces such as Gansu, Shaanxi, and Inner Mongolia were highlighted as considerable development potential for facility agriculture, with the perspective of developing energy-saving solar greenhouses in especial. These distribution characteristics and potential changes of climate suitability would help to optimize production layout and achieve green and sustainable development of facility agriculture. [Display omitted] •Climatic condition changes influence the development of agriculture facility.•12 factors are chosen to drive MaxEnt to quantify suitability for agriculture facility.•Increasing and stable development are expected in central and eastern China.•Western areas have considerable development potential for agriculture facility.