Spatial variation of gully erosion determinants across subtropical regions of China

Gully erosion, with an enormous threat to global economic development and ecological security, results from the comprehensive effect of soil inherent properties and external geo-environmental factors. Previous studies on gully causative factors were mainly conducted on a specific site, case, or region, and limited systematic investigation has been performed on their spatial variation. Based on gully inventory in the seven provinces of southern China, this study investigated the spatial variation of thresholds for fifteen potential causative factors by the frequency ratio model, and analyzed the contribution of these factors to gully erosion by the Boruta algorithm. The results showed that gully density generally increased from north to south, characterized by a clustered distribution within a specific range, but the threshold of each potential factor exhibited a slight difference. Particularly, gully formation was predominantly influenced by multi-year average rainfall erosivity, multi-year average rainfall, and population density. However, the relative importance of these factors to gully erosion showed significant spatial heterogeneity. The relative importance increased from north to south for the factors of rainfall erosivity (8.25 %-13.56 %), rainfall (8.62 %-12.01 %), and slope aspect (0.35 %-1.22 %), but decreased for the factors of slope gradient (2.93 %-6.24 %), temperature (5.23 %-8.89 %), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) (5.25 %-7.80 %), and fraction vegetation coverage (FVC) (4.11 %-7.23 %). Overall, climatic factors exhibited an increasing contribution to gully erosion from north to south, whereas the influence of topography and vegetation coverage decreased along the same gradient. These findings will facilitate a better gully erosion control in southern China. •Gully density increases from 32°03′ N/118°29′ E to 21°01′ N/110°30′ E.•Critical thresholds for gully showed less significant spatial variation.•The relative importance of factors to gully erosion showed significant spatial variation.•Climatic factors dominated the spatial heterogeneity of gullies.