Risk assessment and source tracing of heavy metals in major rice-producing provinces of Yangtze River Basin

Heavy metal contamination in rice constitutes a global concern, its migration is influenced by environmental factors as well as socioeconomic activities. However, tracing its origins within complex context remains a significant challenge. The concentrations of five heavy metals (HMs) in 1754 samples from major rice-producing provinces were analyzed, and their pollution characteristics, associated health risks and temporal-spatial variations were discussed. Potential sources were classified by positive matrix factorization (PMF) models, considering correlations with human activities, climatic conditions, and interaction within ecosystems. The results showed that cadmium (Cd) and arsenic (As) were the primary contributors to pollution risk, with the borders between Hunan and central Jiangxi, as well as northeast Jiangxi and northwest Anhui, identified as critical areas for risk management. PMF serves as an effective methodology for identifying the sources of HMs in rice. Industrial activities, particularly mining and transportation, represent the predominant sources of Cd and lead (Pb), accounting for 75.6 % of the total pollution. Conversely, agricultural practices and natural factors constitute the primary sources of As, contributing to the remaining 24.4 %. It is noteworthy that the rapid industrial development has facilitated the expansion of the freight industry, consequently increasing the risk associated with Pb. Furthermore, effective governmental policy management can mitigate the risks related to HMs. Our research highlights the influence of industrial development on HMs risk in various regions and the moderating role of policy formulation. Minimal research exists on the impact of regional economic development on heavy metals in rice. This study reports mining and transportation activities increase carcinogenic risks caused by Cd and Pb in rice during industrialization. [Display omitted] •Cadmium and arsenic are key contributors to pollution and health risks•PMF analyses identified five HMs sources, mainly from mining and horticulture•Economic development has increased traffic, raising risk of Pb exceeding standards•Policy development can mitigate excessive heavy metal risks.