A Clinical Tool to Relate Youth Risk Factors to Adult Cardiovascular Events and Type 2 Diabetes: The International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort Consortium

To translate data relating childhood cardiovascular (CV) risk factors and adult CV disease and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) to clinically actionable values. This was a prospective observational study (n = 38 589) in the International Childhood Cardiovascular Cohort Consortium. Children at age 3 through 19 years were enrolled in the 1970s and 1980s and followed for more than 30 years. Five childhood CV risk factors (smoking, body mass index [BMI], systolic blood pressure, triglycerides, and total cholesterol) were related to adult CV events. Secondary analyses in a subset included low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, glucose, and insulin level. Age- and sex-specific z scores were calculated for each risk factor, and a combined-risk z score was calculated by averaging z scores for the 5 key CV risk factors. Risk factor z scores were back-transformed to natural units for clinical interpretation, with hazard ratios for adult CV events presented in color-coded tables (green: no increased risk; orange: 1.4 to