An objective diagnosis of gout and calcium pyrophosphate deposition disease with machine learning of Raman spectra acquired in a point-of-care setting

Raman spectroscopy is proposed as a next-generation method for the identification of monosodium urate (MSU) and calcium pyrophosphate (CPP) crystals in synovial fluid. As the interpretation of Raman spectra requires specific expertise, the method is not directly applicable for clinicians. We developed an approach to demonstrate that the identification process can be automated with the use of machine learning techniques. The developed system is tested in a point-of-care-setting at our outpatient rheumatology department. We collected synovial fluid samples from 446 patients with various rheumatic diseases from three centra. We analyzed all samples with our Raman spectroscope and used 246 samples for training and 200 samples for validation. Trained observers classified every Raman spectrum as MSU, CPP or else. We designed two one-against-all classifiers, one for MSU and one for CPP. These classifiers consisted of a principal component analysis model followed by a support vector machine. The accuracy for classification of CPP using the 2023 ACR/EULAR CPPD classification criteria was 96.0% (95% CI 92.3-98.3), while the accuracy for classification of MSU with using the 2015 ACR/EULAR gout classification criteria was 92.5% (95% CI 87.9-95.7). Overall, the accuracy for classification of pathological crystals was 88.0% (95% CI 82.7-92.2). The model was able to discriminate between pathologic crystals, artifacts, and other particles such as microplastics. We here demonstrate that potentially complex Raman spectra from clinical patient samples can be successfully classified by a machine learning approach, resulting in an objective diagnosis independent of the opinion of the medical examiner.