CHA2DS2-VASc Score as Predictor of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation and Mortality in Critical COVID-19 Patients

Background Pre-existing and new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common arrhythmia in COVID-19 patients and is related to increased mortality. CHA2DS2-VASc score was initially developed to evaluate thromboembolic risk in patients with AF. Moreover, it predicted adverse outcomes in other clinical conditions, including SARS-CoV-2 infection. We aimed to evaluate the association of CHA2DS2-VASc with NOAF, ICU length of stay (LOS) and mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients. We also examined the relationship of NOAF with mortality. We reviewed the literature to describe the link between cardiovascular risk factors and inflammatory response of severe COVID-19. Methods and results We retrospectively studied 163 COVID-19 patients admitted to a level 3 general ICU from March 2020 to April 2022. Patients were of advanced age (median 64 years, IQR 56.5-71) and the majority of them were male (67.5%). Regarding NOAF, we excluded 12 patients with AF history. In this group, CHA2DS2VASc score was significantly elevated (3 IQR (1-4) versus 1 IQR (1-2.75), p = 0.003). Specifically, three components of CHA2DS2VASc were notably increased: age (p