Impact of proximity of left atrium to descending aorta on left inferior pulmonary vein triggers or drivers of atrial fibrillation: A risk score model

Prior studies have investigated cardiac anatomy and clinical parameters as predictors for pulmonary vein and non–pulmonary vein triggers. We aimed to assess the link between the descending aorta to left inferior pulmonary vein (Dao-LIPV) distance and the occurrence of triggers and drivers in atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation procedures. Drug-refractory AF patients who underwent first-time index catheter ablation from January 2010 to December 2019 were retrospectively assembled. The Dao-LIPV distance was measured from preablation pulmonary vein computed tomography. Patients were assigned to groups on the basis of the presence of LIPV triggers or drivers. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify risk factors. A total of 886 consecutive patients with drug-refractory AF were studied, and 63 (7.1%) patients were identified to have LIPV triggers or drivers. The Dao-LIPV distance had a better predictive performance (area under the curve, 0.70) compared with persistent AF (area under the curve, 0.57). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that Dao-LIPV distance ≤2.5 mm (odds ratio, 3.96; 95% CI, 2.15–7.29; P < .001) and persistent AF (odds ratio, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.02–2.94]; P = .044) were independent predictors for the presence of LIPV triggers or drivers. A risk score model was established to predict the probability of LIPV triggers or drivers with persistent AF (10.2%), Dao-LIPV distance ≤2.5 mm (11.4%), and both (15.0%). The proximity of the Dao-LIPV was correlated to the presence of LIPV triggers or drivers. We developed a risk score model indicating that persistent AF and Dao-LIPV distances ≤2.5 mm significantly increase the risk of LIPV triggers or drivers, aiding electrophysiologists in preparing for and performing catheter ablation more effectively.