Predicting histopathological features of aggressiveness in lung cancer using CT radiomics: a systematic review

To examine the accuracy of CT radiomics to predict histopathological features of aggressiveness in lung cancer using a systematic review of test accuracy studies. Data sources searched included Medline, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library from up to 3 November 2023. Included studies reported test accuracy of CT radiomics models to detect the presence of: spread through air spaces (STAS), predominant adenocarcinoma pattern, adenocarcinoma grade, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), tumour infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) and tumour necrosis, in patients with lung cancer. The primary outcome was test accuracy. Two reviewers independently assessed articles for inclusion and assessed methodological quality using the QUality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. A single reviewer extracted data, which was checked by a second reviewer. Narrative data synthesis was performed. Eleven studies were included in the final analysis. 10/11 studies were in East Asian populations. 4/11 studies investigated STAS, 6/11 investigated adenocarcinoma invasiveness or growth pattern, and 1/11 investigated LVI. No studies investigating TIL or tumour necrosis met inclusion criteria. Studies were of generally mixed to poor methodological quality. Reported accuracies for radiomic models ranged from 0.67 to 0.94. Due to the high risk of bias and concerns regarding applicability, the evidence is inconclusive as to whether radiomic features can accurately predict prognostically important histopathological features of cancer aggressiveness. Many studies were excluded due to lack of external validation. Rigorously conducted prospective studies with sufficient external validity will be required for radiomic models to play a role in improving lung cancer outcomes. •Histopathological features of lung cancer aggressiveness correlate with prognosis.•CT radiomics represents a method of predicting these features prior to treatment.•Radiomics shows modest accuracy in predicting these histopathological features.•However, most included studies had high concerns for risk of bias.•Future larger and higher quality studies are required.