Controls on subsurface nitrate and dissolved reactive phosphorus losses from agricultural fields during precipitation-driven events

The magnitude of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) exported from agricultural fields via subsurface tile drainage systems is determined by site-specific interactions between weather, soil, field, and management characteristics. Here, we used multiple regression analyses to evaluate the influence of 29 controls of precipitation event-driven discharge, nitrate (NO3−-N) load, and dissolved reactive P (DRP) load from subsurface tile drains, leveraging a unique dataset of ~7000 precipitation events observed across 40 agricultural fields (n = 190 site years) instrumented to collect continuous water quality samples. We calculated marginal effects of significant controls and assessed the modifying influence of event rainfall, duration, and intensity, and antecedent precipitation. Tile discharge was strongly and positively influenced by previous 7-day precipitation and total rainfall and negatively influenced by daily temperature and tile spacing. Both tile NO3−-N and DRP loads were positively influenced by transport and source variables, including event discharge and total fertilizer applied as well as soil test P (STP) in the case of tile DRP load; factors with the strongest negative influence on tile NO3−-N and DRP loads were related to time of year. The strength and direction of both positive and negative controls also varied with precipitation characteristics. For example, the positive influence of event discharge on nutrient loads lessened as event duration, event intensity, and previous 7-day precipitation increased, while the positive influence of N and P sources strengthened, particularly in response to extreme (or maximum) events. Results here demonstrate the predominant role of transport and source controls while accounting for interactive effects among site-specific characteristics and underscore the importance of storm dynamics when managing N and P loss from agricultural fields. [Display omitted] •Precipitation events influence flow and nutrient lost via subsurface tile drainage systems in agricultural watersheds.•Multiple regression models assessed the effects of weather, field, and management factors on tile flow and nutrient loss.•Twelve factors increased tile NO3--N and DRP loss and the strongest positive controls were related to transport and source.•Only 8 and 3 factors decreased tile NO3--N and DRP loss, respectively, demonstrating the challenges of mitigation efforts.•Greater event rainfall, intensity, duration, and antecedent precipitation alte