Predictive factors that influence the clinical efficacy of umbilical cord–derived mesenchymal stromal cells in the treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus

Our previous single-center, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled phase 2 study evaluated the safety and effectiveness of human umbilical cord mesenchymal stromal cell (UC-MSC) transfusion for treating patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Indeed, this potential treatment strategy was able to reduce insulin use by half in a considerable number of patients. However, many other patients’ responses to UC-MSC transfusion were insignificant. The selection of patients who might benefit from UC-MSC treatment is crucial from a clinical standpoint. In this post hoc analysis, 37 patients who received UC-MSC transfusions were divided into two groups based on whether their glycated hemoglobin (hemoglobin A1c, or HbA1c) level was less than 7% after receiving UC-MSC treatment. The baseline differences between the two groups were summarized, and potential factors influencing efficacy of UC-MSCs for T2DM were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression. The correlations between the relevant hormone levels and the treatment effect were further analyzed. At the 9-week follow-up, 59.5% of patients achieved their targeted HbA1c level. Male patients with lower baseline HbA1c and greater C-peptide area under the curve (AUCC-pep) values responded favorably to UC-MSC transfusion, according to multivariate analysis. The effectiveness of UC-MSCs transfusion was predicted by AUCC-pep (cutoff value: 14.22 ng/h/mL). Further investigation revealed that AUCC-pep was increased in male patients with greater baseline testosterone levels. Male patients with T2DM with greater AUCC-pep may be more likely to respond clinically to UC-MSC therapy, and further large-scale multi-ethnic clinical studies should be performed to confirm the conclusion.