Annual mpMRI surveillance: PI-RADS upgrading and increasing trend correlated with patients who harbor clinically significant disease

•Prostate cancer active surveillance (AS) for has poor national patient compliance.•MRI is uniquely positioned to assist with patient monitoring.•Patients who have stable prostate mpMRI findings have favorable outcomes.•Patients who have uptrending mpMRI PI-RADS score are unfavorable outcomes.•Tailoring biopsy intensity to annual mpMRI findings represents the future of AS. Prostate cancer screening has routinely identified men with very low- or low-risk disease, per the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines. Current literature has demonstrated that the most appropriate management strategy for these patients is active surveillance (AS). The mainstay of AS includes periodic biopsies and biannual prostate-specific antigen tests. However, multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) is uniquely posed to improve patient surveillance. This study aimed to evaluate the utility of an annual mpMRI in patients on AS, focusing on radiologic upgrading and Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) trends as indicators of clinically significant disease. This prospective, single intuition, study enrolled 208 patients on AS who had at least two biopsies and 1 mpMRI with a median follow-up of 5.03 years. The main outcome variable was time to Gleason grade (GG) reclassification. After delineating patients on their initial PI-RADS score, men with score 3 and 5 lesions at first MRI had comparable GG reclassification-free survival to their counterparts. Conversely, men with initial PI-RADS 4 lesions showed a lower 5-year GG reclassification-free survival compared to those with PI-RADS score 1–2. The cohort was then subset to 70 patients who obtained ≥2 mpMRIs on protocol. Men experiencing uptrending mpMRI scores had an increased risk of GG reclassification, with a 35.4% difference in 5 year GG reclassification-free survival probability on the Kaplan-Meier curve analysis. In conclusion, this study demonstrates that for men on AS with stable recapitulated disease, an annual MRI may replace repeat biopsies after confirmatory sampling has been obtained. On the other hand, men who initiate AS with PI-RADS 4 and/or who display uptrending mpMRI scores require periodic biopsies along with repeat imaging. This study highlights the utility of integrating an annual MRI into AS protocols, thus promising a more effective approach to management.