J-shaped association of serum uric acid concentrations with all-cause mortality in individuals with osteoarthritis: A prospective cohort study

•There is a nonlinear relationship between SUA concentrations and all-cause mortality in the American OA population (J-shaped association).•The all-cause mortality thresholds for SUA concentrations in females and males are 5.6mg/dl and 6.2mg/dl. The purpose of this study was to explore the relationship between serum uric acid (SUA) concentrations and all-cause mortality in individuals with osteoarthritis (OA). All participant data were retrieved from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey database. A total of 4671 participants (age range: 20 to 85 years old), including 2988 females and 1683 males, were included in this study. The determination of death outcome was based on the National Death Index (up to December 31, 2019). We explored the nonlinear relationship between SUA concentrations and all-cause mortality in OA patients by establishing a Cox proportional risk model and a two-segment Cox proportional risk model and ran an interaction test to identify the high-risk population for all-cause mortality. During 30,645 person-years of follow-up, the number of all-cause deaths for females and males was 736 and 516, respectively. After multivariate adjustment, we found a nonlinear relationship between SUA concentrations and all-cause mortality in both females and males with OA. In addition, we found a J-shaped relationship between SUA concentrations and all-cause mortality. The SUA concentration thresholds for all-cause mortality of females and males were stable at 5.6mg/dl and 6.2mg/dl, respectively. Compared with SUA concentrations below the inflection point, the all-cause mortality risk at higher SUA concentrations in females and males with OA increased by 20% (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.2, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.1 to 1.2) and 25% (HR: 1.2, 95% CI: 1.12 to 1.39), respectively. There is a nonlinear relationship between SUA concentrations and all-cause mortality in the American OA population (J-shaped association). The all-cause mortality thresholds for SUA concentrations in females and males are 5.6mg/dl and 6.2mg/dl, respectively.