OmeDDG: Improved Protein Mutation Stability Prediction Based on Predicted 3D Structures

Determining changes in the protein’s thermal stability following mutations is critical in protein engineering and understanding pathogenic missense mutations. Despite the development of various computational methods to predict the effects of single-point mutations, their accuracy remains limited. In this study, we propose a new computational method, OmeDDG, that more accurately predicts mutation-induced Gibbs free energy changes in protein folding (ΔΔG). OmeDDG takes the sequences of wild-type and mutant proteins as input, utilizes OmegaFold to obtain the 3D structure, employs a convolutional neural network to extract structural features, and combines them with protein mutation features and pretraining features to predict the stability of single-point mutations in proteins. We performed a comprehensive comparison between OmeDDG and other available prediction methods on four blind test datasets, confirming that OmeDDG can effectively enhance protein mutation prediction performance. Notably, on the antisymmetric dataset Ssym, OmeDDG achieves the best performance, demonstrating favorable antisymmetry with PCC = 0.79 and RMSE = 0.96 for forward mutations and PCC = 0.77 and RMSE = 0.97 for reverse mutant types.