Buchanania cochinchinensis (Lour.) M.R. Almedia habitat exhibited robust adaptability to diverse socioeconomic scenarios in eastern India
One of the greatest challenges to ecosystems is the rapidity of climate change, and their ability to adjust swiftly will be constrained. Climate change will disrupt the ecological balances, causing species to track suitable habitats for survival. Consequently, understanding the species’ response to...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Environmental monitoring and assessment 2023-08, Vol.195 (8), p.1005-1005, Article 1005 |
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Zusammenfassung: | One of the greatest challenges to ecosystems is the rapidity of climate change, and their ability to adjust swiftly will be constrained. Climate change will disrupt the ecological balances, causing species to track suitable habitats for survival. Consequently, understanding the species’ response to climate change is crucial for its conservation and management, and for enhancing biodiversity through effective management. This research intends to examine the response of the vulnerable
Buchanania cochinchinensis
species to climate change. We modeled the potential suitable habitats of
B. cochinchinensis
for the present and future climatic scenario proxies based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP), i.e. SSP126, 245, 370 and 585. Maxent was used to simulate the potential habitats of
B. cochinchinensis
. The study found that ~28,313 km
2
(~10.7% of the study area) was a potentially suitable habitat of
B. cochinchinensis
for the current scenario. The majority of the suitable habitat area ~25,169 km
2
occurred in the central and southern parts of the study area. The future projection shows that the suitable habitat to largely increase in the range of 10.5–20% across all the SSPs, with a maximum gain of ~20% for SSP 126. The mean temperature of the wettest quarter (Bio_08) was the most influential contributing variable in limiting the distribution of
B. cochinchinensis
. The majority of the suitable habitat area occurred in the vegetation landscape. The study shows a southward shifting of
B. cochinchinensis
habitat by 2050. The phytosociological analysis determined
B. cochinchinensis
as
Shorea robusta’s
primary associate. Our research provides significant insight into the prospective distribution scenario of
B. cochinchinensis
habitat and its response to diverse socioeconomic scenarios, and offers a solid foundation for management of this extremely important species. |
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ISSN: | 0167-6369 1573-2959 |
DOI: | 10.1007/s10661-023-11611-0 |