Early and Persistent Dysphagia Relief Predicts Tumor Response in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Treated with Immunochemotherapy

Background In this prospective study, we aimed to investigate the role of patient-reported dysphagia relief in predicting pathological tumor responses to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NAIC) in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. Methods This study was designed as a multi-center, prospective study including ESCC patients who received NAIC in the discovery and validation cohorts. The patients’ responses to the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire-OES 18 and QLQ-C30 were collected at multiple time points. Subsequent time point-intensive esophageal cancer-specific dysphagia trajectories were depicted using growth mixture modeling (GMM) analysis. Furthermore, univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression was used to assess the independent predictors for pathological tumor responses. Results A total of 120 patients from the discovery cohort and 42 patients from the validation cohort were included in the analysis. In the discovery cohort, 19 (22.9%) of the 83 patients achieved pCR status. In the independent validation cohort, 24 patients underwent surgery, and 9 (37.5%) patients achieved pCR status. Trajectory analysis showed that, in the pCR group, the beginning of rapid declines in the slope occurred on days 3, 6, and 9. Further multivariate analysis showed that the degree of dysphagia relief (△dysphagia%) was the only significant independent predictor for pCR status (OR = 3.267, 95% CI 1.66–6.428, P < 0.001). The AUC value for △dysphagia% was 0.961 (95% CI: 0.922–0.999, P < 0.001). Conclusion The current study demonstrated that a longitudinal patient-reported outcome (PRO) was an easily obtained, cost-effective, and noninvasive tool for predicting tumor responses to neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy.