Spatiotemporal Patterns of Deaths of Despair Across the U.S., 2000–2019

Deaths of despair (i.e., suicide, drug/alcohol overdose, and chronic liver disease and cirrhosis) have been increasing over the past 2 decades. However, no large-scale studies have examined geographic patterns of deaths of despair in the U.S. This ecologic study identifies geographic and temporal patterns of individual and co-occurring clusters of deaths of despair. All individuals aged ≥10 years who died in the U.S. between 2000 and 2019 and resided within the 48 contiguous states and Washington, District of Columbia were included (N=2,171,105). Causes of death were limited to deaths of despair, namely suicide, drug/alcohol overdose, and chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. Univariate and multivariate space-time scan statistics were used to identify individual and co-occurring clusters with excess risk of deaths of despair. County-level RRs account for heterogeneity within each cluster. Analyses were conducted from late 2021 to early 2022. Six suicide clusters, four overdose clusters, nine liver disease clusters, and three co-occurring clusters of all three types of deaths were identified. A large portion of the western U.S., southeastern U.S., and Appalachia/rust belt were contained within the co-occurring clusters. The co-occurring clusters had average county RRs ranging from 1.17 (p