Long-Term Nonoperative Management is Associated With Lower Mean 9-Year Follow-Up Survival Compared to Total Knee Arthroplasty in Knee Osteoarthritis Patients—Survival Analysis of a Nationwide South Korean Cohort

Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and medications are both considered as a treatment for knee osteoarthritis. However, the impact of the TKA on long-term survival remains controversial. This study aimed to compare 9-year follow-up survival between a TKA group with a nonoperative medication group. From 2007 to 2009, knee osteoarthritis patients were divided into TKA (N = 2,228) and nonoperative medication (N = 76,430) groups, and followed for up to 9 years. The hazard ratio (HR) and subdistribution HR (SHR) were derived from Cox proportional hazards regressions and Fine and Gray analyses, respectively. The TKA group had a significantly lower adjusted mortality rate (adjusted HR , 0.78, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.68–0.9) than the nonoperative medication group. Dose-response relationship between medication possession ratio and mortalities for overall (adjusted HR , 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.04) and cardiovascular (CV) death (adjusted SHR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.05) was also found. Also, there were significant interactions that indicate stronger protective survival effects of the TKA in several covariates: age >75 years (P = .04 for overall; P = .009 for CV), hypertension (P = .006 for overall), and ischemic heart disease (P = .009 for CV). This study suggests that TKA patients had better mean 9-year follow-up survival than the nonoperative medication group after adjusting for baseline differences. For overall death, including CV death, adjusted mortality rates were higher in the medication group and showed a dose-response relationship. Specifically, the protective effect of the TKA for overall or CV deaths was found to be higher for age >75, hypertension, or ischemic heart disease patients. III.