Post-dispersal astrobiological events: modelling macroevolutionary dynamics for lithopanspermia

Lithopanspermia is defined as dispersal of living extremophiles from one planetary body to another, through life-bearing rocks ejected by meteor impacts. If lithopanspermia proves concrete, it should be viewed as an eco-evolutionary phenomenon. Biogeographic/microevolutionary models have been proposed as analogues for lithopanspermia dynamics; however, extremophile arrival on a planetary body is not the end of story. Here, we suggest that eco-evolutionary (environment + organismal microevolution) dynamics can lead to distinct macroevolutionary scenarios after extremophile arrival on a planetary body. Speciation would be the most important factor in interplanetary dynamics due to the possibly long time and distance between dispersive events, similar to long-distance dispersal dynamics on Earth. In previously uninhabited planets, persistence of extremophiles and descendants depends almost only on evolvability of extremophiles against abiotic filters. Considering a previously inhabited planet, ecological interactions at local or global scales could drive persistence (speciation/extinction) of extremophiles in the new habitat. Thus, we might expect high extinction rates if negative interactions are dominant, or, high speciation, if positive interactions occur, with extremophile lineages overpower (or not) the native biota. If interplanetary dispersal is possible, theories about the evolution of life may be universal, leading to a general eco-evolutionary model for life in the Universe.