Urine PD-L1 is a tumor tissue candidate substitute and is associated with poor survival in muscle-invasive bladder cancer patients

•High uPD-L1 levels are associated with severe staging.•The level of uPD-L1 is comparable to that in tissue in MIBC.•High uPD-L1 expression predicts poor prognosis in MIBC. Programmed death molecule ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression in urothelial carcinoma is a predictive marker used to guide immunotherapy. As expression of PD-L1 may be heterogeneous in the tumor tissue space, it cannot be accurately determined by immunohistochemical analysis. In this study, we examined PD-L1 protein levels in preoperative urine samples from bladder cancer patients, evaluated the prevalence of PD-L1 in urine, examined the usefulness of urine as a surrogate for PD-L1 expression in tumors, and compared PD-L1 expression in postoperative pathological sections. We found that PD-L1 in urine and tumor tissue correlated well and that it may be able to some extent serve as a surrogate for tissues in bladder cancer and thus predict risk of recurrence in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) patients. Our findings reveal the clinical relevance of urine PD-L1 as a noninvasive prognostic indicator for immunotherapy and offer clinical translational suggestions for eventual development of a prognostic model for immunotherapy for bladder cancer.