Deterministic versus probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for critical structures: opinion paper

The deterministic procedure for earthquake hazard evaluation avoids the defects caused by the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis and the method developed by the Electric Power Research Institute and the Lawrence Livermore Laboratory. For a critical project, where the consequences of failure are intolerable and protection is needed against the worst that can be reasonably expected to occur (the maximum credible earthquake), the deterministic method is strongly recommended.