Reduction in blood pressure for elevated blood pressure/stage 1 hypertension according to the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guideline and cardiovascular outcomes

Abstract Aims Few studies have examined the relationship of blood pressure (BP) change in adults with elevated BP or stage 1 hypertension according to the American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA) guideline with cardiovascular outcomes. We sought to identify the effect of BP change among individuals with elevated BP or stage 1 hypertension on incident heart failure (HF) and other cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). Methods and results We conducted a retrospective cohort study including 616 483 individuals (median age 46 years, 73.7% men) with elevated BP or stage 1 hypertension based on the ACC/AHA BP guideline. Participants were categorized using BP classification at one-year as normal BP (n = 173 558), elevated BP/stage 1 hypertension (n = 367 454), or stage 2 hypertension (n = 75 471). The primary outcome was HF, and the secondary outcomes included (separately) myocardial infarction (MI), angina pectoris (AP), and stroke. Over a mean follow-up of 1097 ± 908 days, 10 544 HFs, 1317 MIs, 11 070 APs, and 5198 strokes were recorded. Compared with elevated BP/stage 1 hypertension at one-year, normal BP at one-year was associated with a lower risk of developing HF [hazard ratio (HR): 0.89, 95% CI:0.85–0.94], whereas stage 2 hypertension at one-year was associated with an elevated risk of developing HF (HR:1.43, 95% CI:1.36–1.51). This association was also present in other cardiovascular outcomes including MI, AP, and stroke. The relationship was consistent in all subgroups stratified by age, sex, baseline BP category, and overweight/obesity. Conclusion A one-year decline in BP was associated with the lower risk of HF, MI, AP, and stroke, suggesting the importance of lowering BP in individuals with elevated BP or stage 1 hypertension according to the ACC/AHA guideline to prevent the risk of developing CVD.