Are Modic changes ‘Primary infective endplatitis’?—insights from multimodal imaging of non-specific low back pain patients and development of a radiological 'Endplate infection probability score'

Purpose To probe the pathophysiological basis of Modic change (MC) by multimodal imaging rather than by MRI alone. Methods Nineteen radiological signs found in mild infections and traumatic endplate fractures were identified by MRI and CT, and by elimination, three signs unique to infection and trauma were distilled. By ranking the Z score, radiological ‘Endplate Infection Probability Score’ (EIPS) was developed. The score’s ability to differentiate infection and traumatic endplate changes (EPC) was validated in a fresh set of 15 patients each, with documented infection and trauma. The EIPS, ESR, CRP, and Numeric Pain Rating Scale (NRS) were then compared between 115 patients with and 80 patients without MC. Results The EIPS had a confidence of 66.4%, 83% and, 100% for scores of 4, 5 and, 6, respectively, for end plate changes suggesting infection. The mean EIPS was 4.85 ± 1.94 in patients with Modic changes compared to − 0.66 ± 0.49 in patients without Modic changes ( p