Black Women Are Less Likely to Be Classified as High-Risk for Breast Cancer Using the Tyrer-Cuzick 8 Model

Background Breast cancer risk assessment is a powerful tool that guides recommendations for supplemental breast cancer screening and genetic counseling. The Tyrer-Cuzick 8 (TC8) model is widely used for calculating breast cancer risk and thus helps determine if women qualify for supplemental screening or genetic counseling. However, the TC8 model may underestimate breast cancer risk in Black women. This study sought to assess this disparity. Methods Data on race, breast density, body mass index (BMI), and TC8 scores were retrospectively extracted from the electronic medical record (EMR). Logistic regressions were run to evaluate racial differences in TC8 scores. Summary and correlation statistics determined relationships between BMI, breast density, and race. Rank biserial correlations were employed to explore the impact of breast density and BMI on TC8 scores. Results Of 15,356 patients, 5796 were White and 5813 were Black. Black patients had higher rates of BMI ≥ 27 compared with White women (79.2% vs. 45.7%), lower rates of breast density (35.1% vs. 56.2%), and lower rates of high-risk TC8 scores (10.7% vs. 17.5%, OR = 1.6646). There was an inverse relationship between TC8 score and BMI ( r rb = − 0.04) and a direct relationship between TC8 score and breast density ( r rb = 0.37). Discussion Black women are less likely to have high-risk TC8 scores despite having only marginally lower breast cancer incidence rates and higher breast cancer mortality rates than White women. This suggests that the TC8 model underestimates breast cancer risk in Black women, possibly due to lower rates of breast density and higher BMIs among Black women.