Diagnostic accuracy and potential covariates of artificial intelligence for diagnosing orthopedic fractures: a systematic literature review and meta-analysis

Objectives To systematically quantify the diagnostic accuracy and identify potential covariates affecting the performance of artificial intelligence (AI) in diagnosing orthopedic fractures. Methods PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were systematically searched for studies on AI applications in diagnosing orthopedic fractures from inception to September 29, 2021. Pooled sensitivity and specificity and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) were obtained. This study was registered in the PROSPERO database prior to initiation (CRD 42021254618). Results Thirty-nine were eligible for quantitative analysis. The overall pooled AUC, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.96 (95% CI 0.94–0.98), 90% (95% CI 87–92%), and 92% (95% CI 90–94%), respectively. In subgroup analyses, multicenter designed studies yielded higher sensitivity (92% vs. 88%) and specificity (94% vs. 91%) than single-center studies. AI demonstrated higher sensitivity with transfer learning (with vs. without: 92% vs. 87%) or data augmentation (with vs. without: 92% vs. 87%), compared to those without. Utilizing plain X-rays as input images for AI achieved results comparable to CT (AUC 0.96 vs. 0.96). Moreover, AI achieved comparable results to humans (AUC 0.97 vs. 0.97) and better results than non-expert human readers (AUC 0.98 vs. 0.96; sensitivity 95% vs. 88%). Conclusions AI demonstrated high accuracy in diagnosing orthopedic fractures from medical images. Larger-scale studies with higher design quality are needed to validate our findings. Key Points • Multicenter study design, application of transfer learning, and data augmentation are closely related to improving the performance of artificial intelligence models in diagnosing orthopedic fractures. • Utilizing plain X-rays as input images for AI to diagnose fractures achieved results comparable to CT (AUC 0.96 vs. 0.96). • AI achieved comparable results to humans (AUC 0.97 vs. 0.97) but was superior to non-expert human readers (AUC 0.98 vs. 0.96, sensitivity 95% vs. 88%) in diagnosing fractures.