Deep learning of birth-related infant clavicle fractures: a potential virtual consultant for fracture dating

Background In infant abuse investigations, dating of skeletal injuries from radiographs is desirable to reach a clear timeline of traumatic events. Prior studies have used infant birth-related clavicle fractures as a surrogate to develop a framework for dating of abuse-related fractures. Objective To develop and train a deep learning algorithm that can accurately date infant birth-related clavicle fractures. Materials and methods We modified a deep learning model initially designed for face-age estimation to date infant clavicle fractures. We conducted a computerized search of imaging reports and other medical records at a tertiary children’s hospital to identify radiographs of birth-related clavicle fracture in infants ≤ 3 months old (July 2003 to March 2021). We used the resultant database for model training, validation and testing. We evaluated the performance of the deep learning model via a four-fold cross-validation procedure, and calculated accuracy metrics: mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and cumulative score. Results The curated database consisted of 416 clavicle radiographs from 213 infants. Average chronological age (equivalent to fracture age) at time of imaging was 24 days. This model estimated the ages of the clavicle fractures with MAE of 4.2 days, RMSE of 6.3 days and ICC of 0.919. On average, 83.7% of the fracture age estimates were accurate to within 7 days of the ground truth. Conclusion Our deep learning study provides encouraging results for radiographic dating of infant clavicle fractures. With further development and validation, this model might serve as a virtual consultant to radiologists estimating fracture ages in cases of suspected infant abuse.