A predictor of a postoperative fistula after double-opposing Z-plasty in bilateral cleft lip and palate patients

Furlow double-opposing Z-plasty (FDOZ) as primary palatoplasty for the bilateral cleft lip and palate (BCLP) closure often leads to a palatal fistula formation in cases with wide clefts. We examined the utility of the calculated maximum closable cleft width to determine the feasibility of a direct palatal closure without lateral incisions. In this retrospective study, we analyzed consecutive patients with a BCLP who were treated for 5 years from 2009. In sixty-three BCLP patients, the following dimensions were measured preoperatively: an actual distance between maxillary tuberosities (Actual X); actual cleft height, calculated from the line joining the maxillary tuberosities to the cleft edge (Actual Y); and actual cleft width at the hard–soft palate junction (Actual Z) and calculated maximum cleft width requiring a direct closure (CMZ). Six months postoperatively, the relationships between the fistula occurrence and actual Z/CMZ were examined. Median values (interquartile range) of Actual X, Y, and Z and CMZ were 35.0 (33.0–39.0) mm, 7.0 (6.0–8.0) mm, 10.0 (8.0–11.0) mm, and 4.6 (2.7–5.7) mm, respectively. The median age at operation was 8.0 (7.0–17.0) months. Fistulae at the hard–soft palate junction developed postoperatively in three cases with more than a 10-mm cleft width (4.76%). A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis indicated that actual Z was a better predictor of a postoperative fistula formation than CMZ. An actual cleft width was a better predictor of the fistula occurrence than a calculated maximum cleft width after FDOZ for a BCLP repair. The low fistula rate of FDOZ suggested that FDOZ could be used to close the palate with less than a 10-mm cleft width.