Prediction of response after cardiac resynchronization therapy with machine learning

Nearly one third of patients receiving cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) suffer non-response. We intend to develop predictive models using machine learning (ML) approaches and easily attainable features before CRT implantation. The baseline characteristics of 752 CRT recipients from two hospitals were retrospectively collected. Nine ML predictive models were established, including logistic regression (LR), elastic network (EN), lasso regression (Lasso), ridge regression (Ridge), neural network (NN), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), XGBoost and k-nearest neighbour (k−NN). Sensitivity, specificity, precision, accuracy, F1, log-loss, area under the receiver operating characteristic (AU-ROC), and average precision (AP) of each model were evaluated. AU-ROC was compared between models and the latest guidelines. Six models had an AU-ROC value above 0.75. The LR, EN and Ridge models showed the highest overall predictive power compared with other models with AU-ROC at 0.77. The XGBoost model reached the highest sensitivity at 0.72, while the highest specificity was achieved by Ridge model at 0.92. All ML models achieved higher AU-ROCs that those derived from the latest guidelines (all P