Choice of a long-term strategy for the national electricity supply via scenario analysis and multi-criteria analysis

In the present paper, a nuclear, a coal, and a gas strategy to satisfy the national base-load electricity demand are evaluated within the context of a low, a medium, and a high scenario for the growth of the national economy. The main tool, multi-criteria analysis, has been used in two different gro...

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Veröffentlicht in:European journal of operational research 1990-09, Vol.48 (2), p.189-203
Hauptverfasser: Lootsma, F.A., Boonekamp, P.G.M., Cooke, R.M., Van Oostvoorn, F.
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container_start_page 189
container_title European journal of operational research
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creator Lootsma, F.A.
Boonekamp, P.G.M.
Cooke, R.M.
Van Oostvoorn, F.
description In the present paper, a nuclear, a coal, and a gas strategy to satisfy the national base-load electricity demand are evaluated within the context of a low, a medium, and a high scenario for the growth of the national economy. The main tool, multi-criteria analysis, has been used in two different groups, with various scales to quantify human judgement, and with various aggregation rules to calculate final scores of the alternative strategies. A remarkable observation is that the preference for certain strategies does not depende on the scenarios. The potential of the formalized decision analysis is illustrated by the course of events in several decision processes.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/0377-2217(90)90373-J
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source RePEc; Access via ScienceDirect (Elsevier)
subjects Applied sciences
base-load demand
Criteria
Decision making models
electricity
Electricity distribution
electricity supply
Energy
Energy economics
Energy policy
Exact sciences and technology
General, economic and professional studies
Long term planning
Multi-criteria analysis
multicriteria programming
Multiple
Nuclear energy
Operations research
pairwise comparisons
Statistical analysis
Supply & demand
supply and demand
technological forecasting
title Choice of a long-term strategy for the national electricity supply via scenario analysis and multi-criteria analysis
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