Choice of a long-term strategy for the national electricity supply via scenario analysis and multi-criteria analysis
In the present paper, a nuclear, a coal, and a gas strategy to satisfy the national base-load electricity demand are evaluated within the context of a low, a medium, and a high scenario for the growth of the national economy. The main tool, multi-criteria analysis, has been used in two different gro...
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Veröffentlicht in: | European journal of operational research 1990-09, Vol.48 (2), p.189-203 |
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container_title | European journal of operational research |
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creator | Lootsma, F.A. Boonekamp, P.G.M. Cooke, R.M. Van Oostvoorn, F. |
description | In the present paper, a nuclear, a coal, and a gas strategy to satisfy the national base-load electricity demand are evaluated within the context of a low, a medium, and a high scenario for the growth of the national economy. The main tool, multi-criteria analysis, has been used in two different groups, with various scales to quantify human judgement, and with various aggregation rules to calculate final scores of the alternative strategies. A remarkable observation is that the preference for certain strategies does not depende on the scenarios. The potential of the formalized decision analysis is illustrated by the course of events in several decision processes. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/0377-2217(90)90373-J |
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The potential of the formalized decision analysis is illustrated by the course of events in several decision processes.</description><subject>Applied sciences</subject><subject>base-load demand</subject><subject>Criteria</subject><subject>Decision making models</subject><subject>electricity</subject><subject>Electricity distribution</subject><subject>electricity supply</subject><subject>Energy</subject><subject>Energy economics</subject><subject>Energy policy</subject><subject>Exact sciences and technology</subject><subject>General, economic and professional studies</subject><subject>Long term planning</subject><subject>Multi-criteria analysis</subject><subject>multicriteria programming</subject><subject>Multiple</subject><subject>Nuclear energy</subject><subject>Operations research</subject><subject>pairwise comparisons</subject><subject>Statistical analysis</subject><subject>Supply & demand</subject><subject>supply and demand</subject><subject>technological forecasting</subject><issn>0377-2217</issn><issn>1872-6860</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>1990</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>X2L</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kc-r1DAQx4souD79DzwEEdFDNT-b9CI8Fn8tD7zoOWTT6dssbVOTdKH_vbPucw8eDEwmmXxm-Gamql4y-p5R1nygQuuac6bftvRdizdR7x5VG2Y0rxvT0MfV5oo8rZ7lfKSUMsXUpirbQwweSOyJI0Oc7usCaSS5JFfgfiV9TKQcgEyuhDi5gcAAvqTgQ1lJXuZ5WMkpOJI9TC6FSBxCaw4ZDx0Zl6GE2qeARRH6-_a8etK7IcOLB39T_fz86cf2a333_cu37e1d7fELpTZcOs1AM0lpC9p0rVPMdbwV6LUyeyFZ5xuBEcmgZ7KXijvm95o2fO_34qZ6c6k7p_hrgVzsGFDoMLgJ4pItV8oo1nIEX_0DHuOSUC0yVDIuqDQIyQvkU8w5QW_nFEaXVsuoPc_Bnptsz022LbV_5mB3mLa7pCWYwV9zANcxJsj2ZIWTBrcVjbWYKlxA42jzOWRaVCHsoYxY7PWDUJe9G_rkJh_ytagSihmmEft4wQC7ewqQbPYBJg9dSDg-28Xwf9G_AbCitZ4</recordid><startdate>19900925</startdate><enddate>19900925</enddate><creator>Lootsma, F.A.</creator><creator>Boonekamp, P.G.M.</creator><creator>Cooke, R.M.</creator><creator>Van Oostvoorn, F.</creator><general>Elsevier B.V</general><general>Elsevier</general><general>Elsevier Sequoia S.A</general><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>DKI</scope><scope>X2L</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7SC</scope><scope>7TB</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>JQ2</scope><scope>L7M</scope><scope>L~C</scope><scope>L~D</scope><scope>7SU</scope><scope>C1K</scope></search><sort><creationdate>19900925</creationdate><title>Choice of a long-term strategy for the national electricity supply via scenario analysis and multi-criteria analysis</title><author>Lootsma, F.A. ; Boonekamp, P.G.M. ; Cooke, R.M. ; Van Oostvoorn, F.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c373t-824a71e714009e78d9a51ad293a51758b341dc63d2941ef14f452a1cb7062bcb3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>1990</creationdate><topic>Applied sciences</topic><topic>base-load demand</topic><topic>Criteria</topic><topic>Decision making models</topic><topic>electricity</topic><topic>Electricity distribution</topic><topic>electricity supply</topic><topic>Energy</topic><topic>Energy economics</topic><topic>Energy policy</topic><topic>Exact sciences and technology</topic><topic>General, economic and professional studies</topic><topic>Long term planning</topic><topic>Multi-criteria analysis</topic><topic>multicriteria programming</topic><topic>Multiple</topic><topic>Nuclear energy</topic><topic>Operations research</topic><topic>pairwise comparisons</topic><topic>Statistical analysis</topic><topic>Supply & demand</topic><topic>supply and demand</topic><topic>technological forecasting</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Lootsma, F.A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Boonekamp, P.G.M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cooke, R.M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Van Oostvoorn, F.</creatorcontrib><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>RePEc IDEAS</collection><collection>RePEc</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Computer and Information Systems Abstracts</collection><collection>Mechanical & Transportation Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>ProQuest Computer Science Collection</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace</collection><collection>Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Academic</collection><collection>Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Professional</collection><collection>Environmental Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><jtitle>European journal of operational research</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Lootsma, F.A.</au><au>Boonekamp, P.G.M.</au><au>Cooke, R.M.</au><au>Van Oostvoorn, F.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Choice of a long-term strategy for the national electricity supply via scenario analysis and multi-criteria analysis</atitle><jtitle>European journal of operational research</jtitle><date>1990-09-25</date><risdate>1990</risdate><volume>48</volume><issue>2</issue><spage>189</spage><epage>203</epage><pages>189-203</pages><issn>0377-2217</issn><eissn>1872-6860</eissn><coden>EJORDT</coden><abstract>In the present paper, a nuclear, a coal, and a gas strategy to satisfy the national base-load electricity demand are evaluated within the context of a low, a medium, and a high scenario for the growth of the national economy. 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subjects | Applied sciences base-load demand Criteria Decision making models electricity Electricity distribution electricity supply Energy Energy economics Energy policy Exact sciences and technology General, economic and professional studies Long term planning Multi-criteria analysis multicriteria programming Multiple Nuclear energy Operations research pairwise comparisons Statistical analysis Supply & demand supply and demand technological forecasting |
title | Choice of a long-term strategy for the national electricity supply via scenario analysis and multi-criteria analysis |
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