Food security and welfare changes under COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa: Impacts and responses in Kenya

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all Sub-Saharan economies through a multitude of impact channels. The study determines the medium-term macroeconomic outcomes of the pandemic on the Kenyan economy and links the results with a detailed food security and nutrition microsimulation module. It thus evaluates the effectiveness of the adopted government measures to reduce the negative outcomes on food security and to enable economic recovery at aggregate, sectoral and household levels. Through income support measures, the food sector and food demand partially recover. However, 1.3% of households still fall below calorie intake thresholds, many of which are in rural areas. Results also indicate that the state of food security in Kenya remains vulnerable to the evolution of the pandemic abroad. •Economic and food security COVID-19 impacts assessed with a macro-micro framework.•The food sector and food demand partially recover through income support measures.•Rural households have the lowest recovery in food sufficiency and adequacy levels.•Food security outcomes remain exposed to the evolution of the pandemic abroad.•More household income support is required in case of further restrictions.