A Tale of Two Cities: What’s Driving the Firearm Mortality Difference in Two Large Urban Centers?

Introduction Per police data, the case fatality rate (CFR) of firearm assault in New Orleans (NO) over the last several years ranged between 27% and 35%, compared with 18%-22% in Philadelphia. The reasons for this disparity are unknown, and potentially reflect important system differences with broader implications for the reduction of firearm mortality. Methods A retrospective analysis of police and city-specific trauma databases between 2012 and 2017 was performed. Victims of firearm assaults within city limits were included. Univariate analysis was performed using chi-square for categorical and t-test for continuous variables. Bivariate analysis was conducted using logistic regression. Results Per police data, the CFR of firearm assault was 31% in NO and 20% in Philadelphia. However, per trauma registry data, the CFR of firearm assault was 14% in NO and 25% in Philadelphia. Patients in Philadelphia were older, had higher injury severity score, and lower blood pressure. Patients in NO had higher rates of head injury. 51% of patients in Philadelphia arrived via police compared to