Prediction of tumor recurrence and poor survival of ampullary adenocarcinoma using preoperative clinical and CT findings

Objectives To predict poor survival and tumor recurrence in patients with ampullary adenocarcinoma using preoperative clinical and CT findings. Materials and methods A total of 216 patients with ampullary adenocarcinoma who underwent preoperative CT and surgery were retrospectively included. CT was assessed by two radiologists. Clinical and histopathological characteristics including histologic subtypes were investigated. A Cox proportional hazard model and the Kaplan-Meier method were used to identify disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). A nomogram was created based on the multivariate analysis. The optimal cutoff size of the tumor was evaluated and validated by internal cross validation. Results The median OS was 62.8 ± 37.9, and the median DFS was 54.3 ± 41.2 months. For OS, tumor size (hazard ratio [HR] 2.79, p