Predictive value of the modified Bhalla score for assessment of pulmonary exacerbations in adults with cystic fibrosis

Objectives The objective of this study was to analyze the predictive value of the modified Bhalla score in high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) for assessment of pulmonary exacerbations (PEx) in cystic fibrosis (CF) patients. We also describe the relationship between this score and pulmonary function test results. Methods We performed a multicenter and prospective study where adult patients with CF were included consecutively over 18 months. All patients underwent HRCT with acquisition in inspiration and expiration. The results were analyzed by an expert radiologist who assigned a modified Bhalla score value. Lung function was also assessed, and clinical variables were collected. Follow-up lasted approximately 1 year, and PEx were registered. Results The study population comprised 160 subjects selected from 360 CF patients monitored in the participating CF units. The mean age was 28 years, 47.5% were women, and mean forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV 1 ) was 67.5%. The mean global modified Bhalla score was 14.5 ± 0.31 points. Pulmonary function test (PFT) results and the modified Bhalla score correlated well, mainly forced vital capacity (FVC) and FEV 1 . We constructed a statistical model based on the overall Bhalla score to predict the number of PEx. Conclusions The overall modified Bhalla score can predict future PEx in CF patients. This useful tool can help to prevent PEx in higher risk patients. Key Points • Pulmonary function test results and the modified Bhalla score correlated well with FVC and FEV 1 . • The total modified Bhalla score can predict the number of exacerbations in adult CF patients. • Our findings highlight the need to establish a unified protocol for chest HRCT during the follow-up of adult patients with CF in order to anticipate possible complications and determine their impact on pulmonary function.