Prognostic factors and a new preliminary scoring system for remission of type 2 diabetes mellitus after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy

Purpose To evaluate the early remission rate of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) after laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG) and establish a preliminary scoring system that predicts T2DM remission. Methods We assessed the outcomes of 49 morbidly obese patients with T2DM who underwent LSG between 2008 and 2018. The prognostic factors for T2DM remission 1 year post-LSG were identified and an original scoring system was established. We validated our scoring system by comparing it with the individualized metabolic surgery score and the ABCD score. Results The patients’ mean body weight loss and percentage of excess weight loss were 34.4 kg and 59.4%, respectively, while the T2DM remission rate was 77.5%. The serum insulin level and the T2DM duration were independent predictive factors, the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves for which revealed cutoff values of 12.7 ng/mL and 72 months, respectively. We set our system’s score range at 0–2, whereby patients with higher scores have a good T2DM remission prognosis, as higher insulin levels, and/or shorter T2DM duration. Our scoring system had accuracy levels similar to those of the ABCD score with a simple stratification. Conclusion Our preliminary scoring system attains a good level of accuracy for predicting T2DM remission.