Reliability analysis of combined wind-electric and conventional generation systems

Probabilistic models for wind-electric conversion systems and their use in the reliability studies of combined wind-electric and conventional generation systems are discussed. Representative numerical results for a typical site in Hawaii for the month with an excellent wind regime are presented. The results and discussions documented in this paper should be helpful in the planning and incorporation of wind-electric systems as a component in the generation mixes of the utility systems of the future.