Long-term imaging characteristics of clinical complete responders during watch-and-wait for rectal cancer—an evaluation of over 1500 MRIs

Objectives Rectal cancer patients with a clinical complete response after chemoradiotherapy (CRT) may be followed with a ‘watch-and-wait’ (W&W) approach as an alternative to surgery. MRI plays an important role in the follow-up of these patients, but basic knowledge on what to expect from the morphology of the irradiated tumour bed during follow-up is lacking, which can hamper image interpretation. The objective was to establish the spectrum of non-suspicious findings during long-term (> 2 years) follow-up in patients with a sustained clinical complete response undergoing W&W. Methods A total of 1509 T2W MRIs of 164 sustained complete responders undergoing W&W were retrospectively evaluated. Morphology of the tumour bed was evaluated (2 independent readers) on the restaging MRI and on the various follow-up MRIs and classified as (a) no fibrosis, (b) minimal fibrosis, (c) full thickness fibrosis, or (d) irregular fibrosis. Any changes occurring during follow-up were documented. Results A total of 104 patients (63%) showed minimal fibrosis, 38 (23%) full thickness fibrosis, 8 (5%) irregular fibrosis, and 14 (9%) no fibrosis. In 93% of patients, the morphology remained completely stable during follow-up; in 7%, a minor increase/decrease in fibrosis was observed. Interobserver agreement was excellent ( κ 0.90). Conclusions Typically, the morphology as established at restaging remains completely unchanged. The majority of patients show fibrosis with the predominant pattern being a minimal fibrosis confined to the rectal wall. Complete absence of fibrosis occurs in only 1/10 cases. Once validated in independent cohorts, these findings may serve as a reference for radiologists involved in the clinical follow-up of W&W patients. Key Points • In rectal cancer patients with a sustained complete response after chemoradiation, the rectal wall morphology as established on restaging MRI typically remains unchanged during long-term MRI follow-up. • The vast majority of complete responders show fibrosis with the predominant pattern being a minimal fibrotic remnant that remains confined to the rectal wall; complete absence of fibrosis occurs in only 10% of the cases. • Once validated in independent cohorts, the findings of this study may serve as a reference for radiologists involved in the clinical follow-up of rectal cancer patients undergoing watch-and-wait.